How Asia is slowly turning into a pressure-cooker and a free Balochistan may release some steam

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As anyone can observe, the balance of power in Asia is changing. Though it was not visible overtly, America used to have huge influence on Asia after the break up of USSR. Russia was is shambles, China was poor, almost as poor as India. Japan, Taiwan, Pakistan etc were pawns of America.

Russia is stronger now, though still not strong enough, China has grown rapidly, much much faster than India. It has even over taken Japan economically in terms of PPP. American influence has reduced as well, might be due to recession. India is doing just okay. Pakistan is imploding, with extremist trying to take over.


Overall, the power equation in Asia is not clearly defined. Emerging economies in Asia want more resources as well. China is having small tussles with India, Vietnam, Philippines, Japan, Taiwan etc. American forces are leaving Afghanistan, a region which has been the war zone since the days of cold war. History has taught us that whenever there has been imbalance of power, wars have happened. There are many reasons to this – nationalism, resource struggle being few of them. I fear that Asia is being pushed to a first ever Asian War. Europe was in similar position in late 19th and early 20th century, when all European countries struggled and fought over the resources held in colonies. We all know what happened. There are chances that China would want to impose itself on its competitors in coming years. Already there have been a lot if instances. Chinese boat ramming Japanese navy boat, South China sea disputes with Philippines, Vietnam and once it even tried to bully Indian ships there. Such has been the tension in South China sea that several contingency plans for an armed clash in South China Sea has been prepared. In fact, Chinese government mouth piece – The Global Times has dedicated a full section for the disputes in South China Sea.

To add to that, China has been giving special treatment to India on India’s eastern border. Be it crossing over and camping inside Indian border, or coming in India and destroying surveillance cameras or stopping Indians from patrolling! Also, China needs lot of water for the new cities that she is creating. For this, she has been making huge dams on the rivers which pass through China and later come to Indian. We are entering a phase of Water Wars, which is described superbly by Denis Gray in his article – “Water Wars – China’s New Political Weapon?” and by our Indian genius Brahma Chellaney in his article - “A Crisis to Come? China, India, and Water Rivalry”. China is really squeezing India!

Of course, there is no need to remind about the ever green tensions between South Korea and North Korea, which happens to be a Chinese ally. I cannot recall when Asia has been under so much of tension.

The intimidation (assertiveness?) of China will only increase with time. After the American pressure on Pakistan will reduce after its exit from Afghanistan, Pakistan will start focusing on its eastern front again as well. The brutal and barbaric beheading of 2 Indian soldiers and killing of 5 Indian soldiers after crossing the LoC is the only a trailer. With time, more is there to come. This means India would be facing immense pressure in Kashmir, Laddakh (repeated incursions by Chinese army) and North East. I don’t see India being ‘able’ to put equal and opposite pressure on all these fronts. The scary thing is such pressure tactics by these forces on India would only increase time.

One way to weaken China-Pakistan nexus without indulging in a full fledged war is by taking benefit of one of the internal strives in Pakistan. 50% of Pakistan (area wise) is not happy with Pakistan. This 50% is Balochistan. Not only there is unhappiness in them, the natives are being crushed mercilessly by Pakistan forces. Unlike India, Pakistan army is being used to crush this uprising. Every week Baloch people are being kidnapped and their dead bodies been thrown later. This has been going on since years.

To know more about the Balochistan struggle, check this video –


You can further read on this subject here: Wikipedia, The Baloch struggle for freedom, Baloch Freedom Movement, The Struggle in Balochistan, etc.

Imagine if there was not an East Pakistan right now how difficult situation for India have been. Though Bangladesh hasn’t been best of the friends with India, it hasn’t been as hawkish as Pakistan as well. The same way though a free Balochistan might not be a very strong ally of India, it would *not* be a very hostile country as well. Instead, Balochistan would be a hostile neighbour to Pakistan, which means half of Pakistan’s focus would be on its western border. Also, Pakistan would lose much of its natural resources. With Pakistan occupied at its western borders all the time, the pressure the Pakistan is exerting on Indian western border would be greatly reduced.

Of course we cannot change our neighbors geologically. But we can always change our neighbors politically. A focus-less weakened Pakistan would allow India would to focus more on the emerging threat of increasingly assertive China. A free Balochistan would thus help in bringing back the balance of power to Asia. This would ensure long lasting peace in the region. And India would win two wars without shedding much blood.

Written by Rohit Nigam >>

Strong supporter of new-age politics of participation of common man. Believes that that true development can only happen when the power is decentralized and corruption is removed.

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Indian Exponent: How Asia is slowly turning into a pressure-cooker and a free Balochistan may release some steam
How Asia is slowly turning into a pressure-cooker and a free Balochistan may release some steam
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